Metrics use completed games only. Missing source fields are shown as unavailable. Stored CFBD games data for Penn State (2026), fetched 2026-11-03T22:20:05.111Z, was reused while refresh is pending or unavailable. Stored CFBD games data for Oregon (2026), fetched 2026-11-03T10:11:33.270Z, was reused while refresh is pending or unavailable. Stored CFBD game-teams data for Penn State (2026), fetched 2026-11-03T22:20:20.811Z, was reused while refresh is pending or unavailable. Stored CFBD game-teams data for Oregon (2026), fetched 2026-11-03T22:20:21.710Z, was reused while refresh is pending or unavailable. Stored CFBD FBS games fetched 2026-11-03T22:44:14.596Z; refresh pending or unavailable. Stored CFBD FBS membership fetched 2026-11-03T22:44:14.586Z; refresh pending or unavailable.Source: CollegeFootballData API. Per-game averages use completed games with reported values; yards/play = total yards / (rushing + passing attempts); turnover margin = opponent turnovers minus team turnovers; third-down and red-zone rates = conversions / attempts when reported. Possession comparisons pair each offense with the opposing defense, not a predicted winner. Historical meetings cover the current and previous three seasons.Fetched 2026-09-29T21:09:45.262Z
Coverage: 8 of 8 completed games rated; 4 of 4 remaining rated. 12 FBS and 0 FCS opponents. Values are Elo-scale ratings and point-differential units, not national ranks or forecasts.
Coverage: 7 of 8 completed games rated; 4 of 4 remaining rated. 11 FBS and 1 FCS opponents. Coverage is partial; unrated opponents are not given estimated ratings. Values are Elo-scale ratings and point-differential units, not national ranks or forecasts.
Strength methodology
Elo is a team-strength rating named after its creator, Arpad Elo. Higher ratings generally indicate stronger teams.
As of2026-11-04T00:21:38.522Z
Season2026
SourceCollegeFootballData API
CFBD FBS games and FBS membership feed only; SP ratings are not used. A game is completed only when CFBD marks it completed, both scores are present, and kickoff plus an 8-hour safety buffer is strictly before the as-of time. Games starting at or after as-of are remaining; games in the safety window are excluded from both groups. Completed schedule strength averages each FBS opponent's pregame Elo for that matchup. Remaining schedule strength uses each scheduled FBS opponent's latest postgame Elo from an eligible completed game before as-of. Full schedule strength is the mean of rated completed and remaining FBS slots; ratedCompleted/ratedRemaining and FBS/FCS opponent counts expose partial coverage. FCS opponents are counted but never assigned Elo. Opponent record and points are computed from that opponent's completed schedule games before each encounter, excluding the encounter itself. Opponent-adjusted offense is team points minus opponent prior mean points allowed; opponent-adjusted defense is opponent prior mean points scored minus team points allowed. Conference strength is the mean latest eligible postgame Elo for conference members with such a rating; missing Elo is never imputed. Conference nonconference records count each completed FBS-vs-FBS cross-conference game once for each conference. Early-season/preseason CFBD Elo can reflect initialization rather than meaningful season results.
What the sourced data shows
Descriptive statistical lean: Penn State (slight evidence; not a game-outcome prediction; CollegeFootballData API, 2026).
Points Per Game: Penn State 29 PPG; Oregon 33.3 PPG (CollegeFootballData API, 2026).
Yards Per Play: Penn State 5.82 yds; Oregon 6.12 yds (CollegeFootballData API, 2026).
Points Allowed Per Game: Penn State 18.6 PPG; Oregon 21.4 PPG (CollegeFootballData API, 2026).
Yards per play allowed: Penn State 5.07 yds/play; Oregon 5.17 yds/play (CollegeFootballData API, 2026).
Turnover margin per game: Penn State 0.75 +/- per game; Oregon -0.125 +/- per game (CollegeFootballData API, 2026).
Statements above come only from the returned data on this page. They are descriptive, not a prediction.